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The Market’s Short-Term Time Horizon
“The market easily can be distracted by short-term price movements, losing focus on the long-term effect of disruptive technologies. We believe there is a time arbitrage to take advantage of. ARK seeks opportunities that offer growth over 3-5 years that the market ignores or underestimates.”
Saddle Adoption Curve of Innovation
Innovations can have long flat adoption curves as inertia and lack of understanding can delay their embrace.
Performance tends to decline during the gap between the early adopters and mass market acceptance.
Growth can accelerate quickly. Many truly innovative products and services are platforms in “winner takes most” markets.
The Silo-ization of Wall Street
Innovation should not be boxed into sectors, geographies, or market caps. Index strategies tend to miss forward looking growth opportunities, while analysts covering disruptive companies have trouble understanding technology cost curves. ARK’s analysts are organized by cross-sector disruptive innovation themes to capitalize on the convergence of research.
Traditional Silos vs. Innovation
Industries and Sectors
Market Capitalizations
Style Boxes
Autonomous Vehicles
Robotics
Machine Learning
Energy Storage
Blockchain Technology
3D Printing
DNA Sequencing
Gene Editing
Molecular Diagnostics
The Passive Public Markets
Innovation investors have crowded into the private markets. At the same time, the public markets have increasingly gone passive. Thus, ARK believes innovative public companies with forward looking growth are the most inefficiently priced part of the market.
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ARK Investment Management LLC, Datasource: Morningstar
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ARK Investment Management LLC, Datasource: Preqin Pro, 2019
Total New Flows of Actively vs Passively Managed Funds from 2008-20181
Global Venture Capital Assets Under Management2
The Closed-Off Research and Investment Mentality
We believe innovation demands an open approach to gain a deeper understanding of the convergence across technologies and their full market potential. ARK uses an Open Research Ecosystem that combines top-down and bottom-up research. It is designed to identify innovation early and allow for an organized exchange of insights between the Portfolio Manager, Director of Research, Analysts, and external sources.
